Baltika signed a player with four goals a season. Why it does not look strange

Opening

Kaliningrad are signing a twenty-four-year-old attacker from Neftekhimik for free. Over the whole FNL season he scored exactly four goals, despite accumulating almost seven in expected goals. Four goals against 7 xG sounds more like a statistical anomaly than simple bad luck.

And you know, this transfer somehow pleases me. Let me try to lay it out shelf by shelf.